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GB listings for all of 2015 - Russian

Started by running-man, January 22, 2016, 02:09:18 PM

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running-man

2015 totals for Russian are in.  415 guns in 10 months extrapolates to ~500 guns for the entire year. 

Of the 415 I counted, the average sale price was ~$560.  They broke down like this:
  • 349 Tulas @ ~$560 avg. sale price.
  • 16 Izhevsks @ ~$810 avg. sale price.
  • 50 Unknown arsenals @ ~$445 avg. sale price.
The major takeaway I see is: IF YOU HAVE SUCH A POOR PRESENTATION IN YOUR AUCTION WHERE THE BUYER CAN'T EVEN TELL WHAT THE ARSENAL IS, EXPECT TO LOSE ~$115 ON AVG! 

Breaking things down a bit farther we see:

52 total "as-issued" guns at an avg. of ~$775 ea.  This represents a premium of ~$215 over your typical SKS45.
Of those,
  • 48 were Tulas @ ~$765 ea.
  • 4 were Izhevsks @ ~$885 ea.
In the current condition category we see the following break down:
  • 1 of the 415 (0.2%) was in excellent current condition averaging $510 (someone made the buy of the century there).
  • 44 of the 415 (10.6%) were in VG condition averaging ~$840.
  • 274 of the 415 (66.0%) were in good condition averaging ~$550.
  • 80 of the 415 (19.3%) were in fair condition (think Sino-Banian) averaging ~$435.
  • 16 of the 415 (3.9%) had such poor auctions that I couldn't tell what condition they were in.  These averaged ~$530.


Looking at the graph, I was surprised to see the avg. Russian sale price has a negative slope! -$1.78 per month to be precise with a very good linear fit.  Being curious, I broke out the as-issued gun average out by themselves, and the ~$215 avg. premium is pretty evident.